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Full text of "Rapid Population Growth Consequences And Policy Implications"

ECTS OF CHANGES OF BIRTH AND DEATH RATES
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TABLE 3
Analysis of Effects of Mortality and Fertility in the Differences between Honduras 1966 and Sweden 1798-1802
)rtality	Honduras 1966	Honduras 1966	Sweden 1798-1802	Sweden 1798-1802
utility	Honduras 1966	Sweden                Honduras 1798-1802                 1966		Sweden 1798-1802
Dr	35.63	17.08	21.67	4.30
;nt under ge 15	47.37	34.45	41.75	29.71
i age	20.95	27.62	23.38	30.03
			Average Effects of	
	Mortality		Fertility	Interaction
)r	13.37		17.96	1.18
;nt under ge 15	5.18		12.48	0.88
lage	-2.42		-6.66	-0.02
ource: Author's calculations.
y superior at young ages; and that the difference in fertility rates acts more strongly in the same direction, lowering the mean age by 6.66 s.
his first method of decomposition of parameters of age distribution pro-5 numbers but no mathematical analysis.
'he Study of Linkages. The second way of answering the question of how iging birth or death rates affect ages is through studying theoretically the iges in the stable model. This method has the advantage that it provides nderstanding of the mechanism of linkage; it enables us to study all kinds ossible changes, not only those that historically occurred in the past. The r part of this paper will serve to introduce the main ideas in a relatively :echnical way. Our linkages are a way of tracing the demographic con-ences of possible policies.
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he birth and death rates with which the present-day demographer dealstality of Honduras 1966 and the fertility of Sweden 1800 are the second column; the difference between the first two numbers in any row tells us the pure effect of fertility under Honduran mortality. This may be averaged with the difference of the last two numbers, which tells us the fertility effect under Swedish mortality.